İngiltere U21 4-2 Portekiz U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
11%
7.04
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
5%
23.85
2/2
18%
4.99
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.81/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+135% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere U21
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Portekiz U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.40 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
358 Passes 469
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 Avrupa - UEFA U21 Şampiyonası
28.03.2021 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 2-0 HT 0-0 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
18.06.2015 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
13.11.2014 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 3-1 HT 2-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 HAZ
03.09.2010 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 0-1 HT 0-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 U21
14.11.2009 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere U21
4-2
AWAY Portekiz U21
1.37 xG 2.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
651 Passes 392
94% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İngiltere U21 vs Portekiz U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere U21 saw off Portekiz U21 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day İngiltere U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İngiltere U21 had 60% of the ball to Portekiz U21's 40%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.37 to 2.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portekiz U21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İngiltere U21 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İngiltere U21 and 0.67 for Portekiz U21.

What was the final score of İngiltere U21 vs Portekiz U21?

İngiltere U21 4-2 Portekiz U21 in the Friendlies on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere U21 vs Portekiz U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İngiltere U21 37%, draw 28%, Portekiz U21 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere U21), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere U21) ✓ BTTS Yes
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