Japonya U20 1-1 ABD U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
39%
+10.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
34%
-9.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD U20 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ABD U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
186 Passes 429
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2019 Japonya U20 Japonya U20 1-2 HT 0-0 ABD U20 ABD U20 Dünya - U20 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U20
1-1
AWAY ABD U20
0.45 xG 1.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
258 Passes 567
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Japonya U20 vs ABD U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U20 and ABD U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Japonya U20 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Japonya U20 had 34% of the ball to ABD U20's 66%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.45 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Japonya U20 vs ABD U20?

Japonya U20 1-1 ABD U20 in the Friendlies on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U20 vs ABD U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Japonya U20 49%, draw 26%, ABD U20 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Japonya U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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