Macaristan U21 1-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.16
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.09
X/2
12%
5.35
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.4
2/X
13%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
0.84/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-42% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.09.2012 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 2-1 HT 2-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 U21
01.09.2011 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan U21
1-3
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
0.51 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
354 Passes 281
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macaristan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 got the better of Macaristan U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macaristan U21 had 55% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21's 45%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.51 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Macaristan U21 and 1.50 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21.

What was the final score of Macaristan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Macaristan U21 1-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 in the Friendlies on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Macaristan U21 35%, draw 30%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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