Gateshead vs York City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gateshead v York City — Team-Based Signals
Gateshead vs York City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gateshead 3-1 York City — Actual Match Statistics
Gateshead put daylight between themselves and York City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had York City at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, York City saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 8-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Gateshead against 2.17 for York City.
Gateshead vs York City Result & Final Score
Gateshead 3 - 1 York City in the England - National League on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gateshead vs York City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 11%, draw 15%, York City 74%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (York City) went the other way.