Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 24 Apr 2025

Tigres UANL
1-1
Cruz Azul
📅24/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2025

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 32% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.54
+85% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +116%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
– Crosses 12.1
– Yellow Cards 3.1

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 401
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
10.11.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.02.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
22.10.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
05.02.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
03.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-3 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK

Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-1
AWAY Cruz Azul
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 48% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 52%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.17 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul in the CONCACAF Champions League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 42%, draw 30%, Cruz Azul 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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