Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Cruz Azul 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tigres UANL found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 35% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 65%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.32 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.17 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL 2-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 35%, draw 29%, Cruz Azul 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5 went the other way.