Atlas vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Puebla
MEK
0-4
HT 0-2
Atlas
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Puebla
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
Atlas 3-2 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas squeezed past Puebla 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atlas found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atlas had 63% of the ball to Puebla's 37%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlas and 1.33 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Puebla?
Atlas 3-2 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlas 40%, draw 27%, Puebla 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.