Club Olimpia 0-0 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.51
Over
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No Pick
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.17
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
20%
5.19
6+
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.29
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.71
X/2
9%
6.59
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.51
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 31%
+22% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -38%
1.75/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.22
+28% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
27.2 Crosses 20.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
300 Passes 232
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol LKU
13.04.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
0-0
AWAY CA Penarol
1.24 xG 1.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
345 Passes 177
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia and CA Penarol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 63% of the ball to CA Penarol's 37%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.24 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.00 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs CA Penarol?

Club Olimpia 0-0 CA Penarol in the Copa Libertadores on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 47%, draw 24%, CA Penarol 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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