San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.76
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.89
6+
11%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.44
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
10%
9.81
X/2
9%
4.11
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.24
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio Bulo Bulo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 58%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2-1
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.18 xG 1.58
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
167 Passes 325
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 35
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio Bulo Bulo nicked a narrow win over Velez Sarsfield 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, San Antonio Bulo Bulo had 37% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 63%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.18 to 1.58.

What was the final score of San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield?

San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Antonio Bulo Bulo 27%, draw 29%, Velez Sarsfield 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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