Estudiantes vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estudiantes v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Estudiantes vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Estudiantes
LKU
2-2
HT 0-2
Estudiantes
CON CSA
2-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
CON CSA
Estudiantes 1-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes edged past Botafogo 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Estudiantes had 51% of the ball to Botafogo's 49%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Botafogo?
Estudiantes 1-0 Botafogo in the Copa Libertadores on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 45%, draw 27%, Botafogo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.