Orleans 0-3 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
5%
9.75
X/X
8%
5.34
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
11%
7.52
2/X
11%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.52
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Quevilly
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
28.03.2025 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
02.11.2024 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
15.03.2021 Orleans Orleans 3-4 HT 2-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
09.10.2020 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 2-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly cruised past Orleans 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orleans at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quevilly led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Orleans and 1.60 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Quevilly?

Orleans 0-3 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orleans 55%, draw 24%, Quevilly 21%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Orleans), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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