Sochaux 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.95 — our 21% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.45
X/1
13%
3.63
X/2
5%
13.35
X/X
10%
5.0
2/1
12%
27.0
2/2
8%
12.6
2/X
5%
21.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.77
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
09.05.2025 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
18.01.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
11.05.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 2-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
28.07.2017 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
28.04.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
2-1
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux squeezed past Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sochaux had 69% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 31%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sochaux and 0.83 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Sochaux 2-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 61%, draw 21%, Bourg en Bresse 01 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
24 Apr 2026
20:30 Caen vs Villefranche Analysis →
20:30 Stade Briochin vs Concarneau Analysis →
20:30 Chateauroux vs FC Fleury 91 Analysis →
20:30 Rouen vs Aubagne Analysis →
20:30 Le Puy vs Versailles Analysis →
20:30 Orleans vs Quevilly Analysis →