Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.6
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
9%
6.87
X/2
11%
4.74
X/X
16%
3.83
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.16
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.87/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.80
-25% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sochaux
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 297
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
18.01.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
11.05.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 2-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
28.07.2017 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
28.04.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
29.11.2016 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux saw off Bourg en Bresse 01 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.00 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Sochaux?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 27%, draw 29%, Sochaux 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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