Villefranche 1-1 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.11
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
8%
7.63
X/2
15%
4.63
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.82
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-1
AWAY Caen
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Caen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Villefranche had 47% of the ball to Caen's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Caen?

Villefranche 1-1 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 29%, draw 24%, Caen 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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