Concarneau 2-2 Stade Briochin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 5 Dec 2025

Concarneau
2-2 HT 0-2
Stade Briochin
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Concarneau vs Stade Briochin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.4
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.31
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
7.19
2/X
5%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Stade Briochin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.60/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.04
-3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Concarneau vs Stade Briochin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade Briochin
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.11.2025 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FRK
17.11.2023 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 3-3 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FRK
17.03.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
12.10.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-2 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
22.04.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-3 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
05.12.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Stade Briochin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau and Stade Briochin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Concarneau at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Concarneau had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Concarneau and 0.83 for Stade Briochin.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Stade Briochin?

Concarneau 2-2 Stade Briochin in the France - National League 1 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Stade Briochin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 54%, draw 25%, Stade Briochin 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Concarneau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ BTTS Yes
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