24/04/2026
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Caen vs Villefranche Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43
— our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
27%
Draw
25%
21%
Away Win
22%
56%
Under 2.5
47%
44%
Over 2.5
53%
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
50%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Villefranche — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Caen
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Villefranche
EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
+8%
1.12/0.19
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.81/1.26
-33%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
+14%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
354 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
Caen vs Villefranche Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Caen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Villefranche
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
5
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Caen vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Caen ran out comfortable winners over Villefranche 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Caen vs Villefranche?
Caen 3-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Villefranche?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Caen 52%, draw 27%, Villefranche 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Caen)
✗ Under 2.5
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24 Apr 2026