Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Tusker 0-1 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
TransMara Sugar edged past Tusker 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 37% / 29%) promised a tight game; TransMara Sugar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tusker had 59% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 41%, shots finished 15-21.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tusker and 0.67 for TransMara Sugar.
What was the final score of Tusker vs TransMara Sugar?
Tusker 0-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs TransMara Sugar?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tusker 35%, draw 37%, TransMara Sugar 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.