Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tusker v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Tusker 0-1 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
TransMara Sugar found just enough to beat Tusker 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The model refused to pick a side here (37% / 39% / 24%); TransMara Sugar picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Tusker's favour, shots finished 15-21.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Tusker against 0.67 for TransMara Sugar.
Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Result & Final Score
Tusker 0 - 1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tusker vs TransMara Sugar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tusker 37%, draw 39%, TransMara Sugar 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.