Mito HollyHock 1-3 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.32
-62% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.5 Crosses 17.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
277 Passes 545
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.03.2026 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 0-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP
12.07.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
11.07.2018 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-3
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
FAQ Mito HollyHock vs Kawasaki Frontale
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kawasaki Frontale beat Mito HollyHock 3-1 away from home in the Japan - J1 League on 24 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 48% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 52%, shots finished 12-16.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.67 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Mito HollyHock 1-3 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 30%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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