Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
11%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.43/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.6 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-2 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
08.03.2025 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
14.08.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
10.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
13.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka edged past Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 49% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.83 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 42%, draw 25%, Gamba Osaka 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ BTTS Yes
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