Caracas FC 0-3 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
0.93/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
-25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.9 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC CSA
16.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
02.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.05.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
0-3
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.21 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira cruised past Caracas FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Caracas FC had 56% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 44%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.21 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caracas FC and 0.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Caracas FC 0-3 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 31%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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