Univ College Dublin 5-2 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 33% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 54%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.73/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.78
-42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cork City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Cork City Cork City 3-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
20.03.2026 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
06.09.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
03.06.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
12.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
01.03.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
5-2
AWAY Cork City
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin cruised past Cork City 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cork City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.00 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Cork City?

Univ College Dublin 5-2 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 29%, draw 27%, Cork City 44%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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