Kerry 2-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 19%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.90
+4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
20.03.2026 Kerry 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.10.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
08.08.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
18.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
14.02.2025 Kerry 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry squeezed past Finn Harps 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kerry as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 2-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kerry 60%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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