Kerry 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
34%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.51
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
0.93/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
-39% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
08.08.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
18.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
14.02.2025 Kerry 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
27.09.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.07.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Kerry made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 1.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kerry 34%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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