Kerry 0-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.56
Over 2.5
53%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.69
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
60%
-12.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
40%
+12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.22/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.16
-17% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
14.02.2025 Kerry 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
27.09.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.07.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
24.05.2024 Kerry 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
22.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps squeezed past Kerry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Finn Harps made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kerry and 1.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Kerry 0-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 39%, draw 25%, Finn Harps 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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