Finn Harps 1-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
14%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+10.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.34/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.17
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kerry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2026 Kerry 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.10.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
08.08.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
18.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-2 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
14.02.2025 Kerry 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
27.09.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps squeezed past Kerry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Finn Harps found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Finn Harps and 1.17 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Kerry?

Finn Harps 1-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 40%, draw 34%, Kerry 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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