Treaty United 2-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Athlone Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2026 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
20.03.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 2-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
19.09.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
25.07.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.04.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.02.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-5 HT 0-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
2-1
AWAY Athlone Town
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United edged past Athlone Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Treaty United and 0.67 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Treaty United 2-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 43%, draw 25%, Athlone Town 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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