Athlone Town 2-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 31% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.3pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
1.64/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.04
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Treaty United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.02.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-5 HT 0-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
20.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.06.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
06.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
01.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
2-2
AWAY Treaty United
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athlone Town had 44% of the ball to Treaty United's 56%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Athlone Town and 1.17 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Athlone Town 2-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 35%, draw 28%, Treaty United 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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