Kerry 0-3 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.34/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.71
+3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +82%
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
234 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
30.08.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
01.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin swept aside Kerry 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Univ College Dublin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kerry and 1.17 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Kerry 0-3 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 27%, draw 33%, Univ College Dublin 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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