Dundalk 3-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.5pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +27%
1.49/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.94
-20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Wexford Youths
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
28.03.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 3-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
26.08.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
26.08.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
29.05.2016 Dundalk Dundalk 3-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İRL
14.03.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
3-2
AWAY Wexford Youths
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Wexford Youths 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundalk had 52% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 48%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dundalk and 1.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Wexford Youths?

Dundalk 3-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 52%, draw 27%, Wexford Youths 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
25 Jul 2025
21:45 Athlone Town vs Treaty United Analysis →
21:45 Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers Analysis →
21:45 Kerry vs Univ College Dublin Analysis →