Treaty United 3-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.97/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.46
+24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
25.04.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.02.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-5 HT 0-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
20.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.06.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
06.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United squeezed past Athlone Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Treaty United 3-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 44%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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