Bray Wanderers 3-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +4%
1.97/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.24
+26% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-1 HT 3-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRK
04.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
30.05.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
21.03.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
11.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.08.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers edged past Finn Harps 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bray Wanderers and 2.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers 3-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 52%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
19 Sep 2025
00:00 Univ College Dublin vs Kerry Analysis →
21:45 Wexford Youths vs Cobh Ramblers Analysis →
21:45 Treaty United vs Athlone Town Analysis →