Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.82
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
51%
+9.3pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.7pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.42/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.03
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.07.2025 Kerry 0-3 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
02.05.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
30.08.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-1
AWAY Kerry
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin squeezed past Kerry 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 55% of the ball to Kerry's 45%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.50 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 60%, draw 18%, Kerry 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
19 Sep 2025
21:45 Wexford Youths vs Cobh Ramblers Analysis →
21:45 Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps Analysis →
21:45 Treaty United vs Athlone Town Analysis →