Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.37/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.86
+20% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses 23.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
5W-1D-0L
AWAY South Melbourne
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
19.04.2026 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-3 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
23.08.2025 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 HT 1-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
11.05.2025 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
07.09.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
30.06.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
22.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne nicked a narrow win over Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oakleigh Cannons at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 0.33 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 51%, draw 20%, South Melbourne 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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