Worksop Town 5-2 Blyth Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over Pick
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.68/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+30% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +79%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Blyth Spartans
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 6
03.10.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 5-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans FAK
30.09.2023 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 1-1 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town FAK
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Blyth Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town cruised past Blyth Spartans 5-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worksop Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Worksop Town and 0.50 for Blyth Spartans.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Blyth Spartans?

Worksop Town 5-2 Blyth Spartans in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Blyth Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 55%, draw 20%, Blyth Spartans 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
24 Aug 2024
17:00 Morpeth Town vs Rylands Analysis →
17:00 Ashton United vs Workington Analysis →
17:00 Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town Analysis →
17:00 Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →
17:00 Ilkeston Town vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
17:00 Hebburn Town vs Basford United Analysis →