Floreat Athena 3-2 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.7pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 56%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.32/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/2.03
+67% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
445 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floreat Athena
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bayswater City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-1 HT 0-0 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
19.08.2023 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 3-0 HT 1-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-0 HT 0-0 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
30.07.2022 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 3-3 HT 2-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
07.05.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 6-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
24.07.2021 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Floreat Athena vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floreat Athena nicked a narrow win over Bayswater City 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Floreat Athena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayswater City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Floreat Athena and 2.17 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Floreat Athena vs Bayswater City?

Floreat Athena 3-2 Bayswater City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floreat Athena vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Floreat Athena 35%, draw 25%, Bayswater City 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayswater City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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