Clarence Zebras 2-2 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
3.14
Over 2.5
51%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.2pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.8pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
28%
+20.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
72%
-20.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.9pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.16/3.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.75
+73% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Launceston City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
20.04.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 2-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
26.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
01.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
22.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-3 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clarence Zebras and Launceston City shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Launceston City at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clarence Zebras and 1.67 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City?

Clarence Zebras 2-2 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 22%, draw 16%, Launceston City 61%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Launceston City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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