Oakleigh Cannons 4-1 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.53
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
61%
-27.9pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.6pp
33%
Away Win
18%
+15.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.57/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.73
+15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.2 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dandenong City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3.21 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
387 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.06.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-2 HT 0-2 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
01.03.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.07.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 5-0 HT 2-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
01.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-4 HT 0-3 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
02.07.2021 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 6-1 HT 4-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
31.03.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-2 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons cruised past Dandenong City 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Oakleigh Cannons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 0.83 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?

Oakleigh Cannons 4-1 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 33%, draw 33%, Dandenong City 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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