South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.60/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.79
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +85%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Devonport City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.06.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 2-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
20.04.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
26.08.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
01.07.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
22.04.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
27.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 0-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City edged past South Hobart 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Devonport City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for South Hobart and 1.83 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Devonport City?

South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 38%, draw 26%, Devonport City 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Hobart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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