Changchun YaTai 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.86
X/2
9%
5.44
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.95/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.73
-25% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.4 Crosses 19.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.76 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
381 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
29.09.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
08.06.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-1 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
10.12.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.72 xG 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
169 Passes 344
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 38% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 62%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.72 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.17 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Shenzhen FC?

Changchun YaTai 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 43%, draw 27%, Shenzhen FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Under 2.5
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