Shandong Taishan 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.5
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.15
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
4%
18.15
X/X
9%
7.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.7
2/2
4%
14.8
2/X
6%
21.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-0.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.19/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.45
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
25.6 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.19 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
343 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
15.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
13.09.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-4 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
13.07.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
3-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.77 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
440 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 59% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 41%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.67 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shandong Taishan 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 70%, draw 18%, Qingdao Jonoon 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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