Sparta Prag 3-2 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.0pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.9pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.02/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.72
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.0 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
480 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEKK
30.11.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
02.08.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
18.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.08.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.04.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-2
AWAY Dukla Prag
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Dukla Prag 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 72% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 28%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.50 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Sparta Prag 3-2 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 71%, draw 17%, Dukla Prag 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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