Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Aug 2025

Cagliari
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Fiorentina
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.49
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.33
6+
4%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.61
1/2
2%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
12%
6.11
X/2
15%
5.06
X/X
20%
3.89
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
5%
13.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Cagliari v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cagliari The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 43%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fiorentina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 1.57
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
08.12.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
23.05.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 2-3 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
02.10.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
23.01.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
24.10.2021 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1 - 1
AWAY Fiorentina
1.13 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
293 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cagliari vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari and Fiorentina finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Cagliari had 45% of the ball to Fiorentina's 55%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.13 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 2.17 for Fiorentina.

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Cagliari 1 - 1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 29%, draw 31%, Fiorentina 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5
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