Venezia 2-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
11%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
9%
9.25
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
8%
7.87
2/X
7%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.96/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.47
+25% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.8 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
444 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Venezia Venezia 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.11.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-3 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.03.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
08.10.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.02.2018 Venezia Venezia 3-1 HT 3-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.09.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.36 xG 0.56
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Venezia vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia nicked a narrow win over FC Bari 1908 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Venezia had 59% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 41%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Venezia and 0.83 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Venezia vs FC Bari 1908?

Venezia 2-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Venezia 50%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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