Catanzaro 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
11%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
13%
3.84
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.88
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+39% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.9 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Südtirol
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.52 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 256
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
27.10.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-0 HT 3-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
07.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
0.51 xG 1.23
73% Ball Possession 27%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
379 Passes 85
81% Pass Accuracy 57%
5 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Südtirol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Catanzaro had 73% of the ball to Südtirol's 27%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.51 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Catanzaro and 0.75 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Catanzaro 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 40%, draw 29%, Südtirol 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catanzaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5
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