Südtirol 1-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.78
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.82
X/2
14%
6.56
X/X
15%
3.66
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.19
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.56
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.4 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-0 HT 3-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
07.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-1
AWAY Catanzaro
1.46 xG 2.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
150 Passes 291
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Catanzaro shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Südtirol had 40% of the ball to Catanzaro's 60%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.46 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Südtirol and 2.00 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Catanzaro?

Südtirol 1-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 36%, draw 30%, Catanzaro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Südtirol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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