Palermo 2-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Jan 2025

Palermo
2-0 HT 1-0
Modena
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
7%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
10%
7.46
X/X
11%
3.9
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
16%
5.83
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.36
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.0 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Palermo vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Modena
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.15 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
340 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
20.01.2024 Palermo Palermo 4-2 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB
07.10.2023 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
17.03.2023 Palermo Palermo 5-2 HT 1-2 Modena Modena İTB
29.10.2022 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
23.08.2014 Palermo Palermo 0-3 HT 0-2 Modena Modena İTK

Palermo 2-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-0
AWAY Modena
2.03 xG 1.01
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 8
232 Passes 471
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo got the better of Modena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 37% of the ball to Modena's 63%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.03 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Palermo and 1.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Modena?

Palermo 2-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palermo 41%, draw 28%, Modena 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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