Cosenza Calcio 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.38
X/2
9%
8.39
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.29/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.37
-18% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.7 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mantova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.23 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
260 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Mantova Mantova 3-2 HT 2-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2-2
AWAY Mantova
1.26 xG 0.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
134 Passes 292
60% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Mantova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 37% of the ball to Mantova's 63%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.26 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Mantova?

Cosenza Calcio 2-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 49%, draw 26%, Mantova 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ BTTS No
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