Spezia vs Juve Stabia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Juve Stabia — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Juve Stabia
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Juve Stabia
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Spezia
İTB
2-1
HT 2-0
Spezia
İTB
Spezia 1-1 Juve Stabia — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Spezia had 53% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 47%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spezia and 1.17 for Juve Stabia.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Juve Stabia?
Spezia 1-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Juve Stabia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spezia 52%, draw 28%, Juve Stabia 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.