Spezia vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Spezia 0-2 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Carrarese got the better of Spezia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Spezia carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spezia had 57% of the ball to Carrarese's 43%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Spezia and 1.00 for Carrarese.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Carrarese?
Spezia 0-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Spezia 61%, draw 22%, Carrarese 17%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.