Virtus Verona 1-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.2pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
0.96/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
28.07.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 4-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY Cittadella
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Cittadella couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 39% of the ball to Cittadella's 61%, shots finished 13-20.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Cittadella?

Virtus Verona 1-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 25%, draw 22%, Cittadella 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cittadella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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